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Recruiting vs Results: A look at the last four years

Mack Brown's Texas squads were consistently near the top of the recruiting rankings, but an inability to live up to those rankings led to his dismissal; Photo: USA Today Sports

Recruiting has become a huge part of college football and a huge factor in how successful football teams are in this day and age. I thought it would be interesting to look back at the last four years by comparing the composite team recruiting rankings at 247 Sports with the final AP polls for the same years. 

Can you guess the teams that underachieved versus expectations based on their recruiting rankings and those that overachieved?

Here are the results:

The Top 10 Underachievers

School AP Avg Rank Recruiting Avg Rank Diff
#1 Tennessee 50* 14 -36
#2 Miami (FL)  50* 16 -34
#3 Texas 37 4 -33
#4 (tie) Washington/Cal 47/50 19/22 -28
#5 Florida 26 2 -24
#6 USC 21 5 -16
#7 Michigan 27 12 -15
#8 UCLA 31 18 -13
#9 (tie) Georgia/Nebraska 20/33 8/21 -12
#10 West Virginia 45 35 -10

* for the teams that failed to finish in the final AP Top 25 in any season from 2010-2013, a rank of 50 (which is generous for some of these teams) was given to these teams for calculations purposes. Teams that finished with an avg recruiting ranking outside of the Top 25 (Ole Miss, UNC, Penn State, Texas Tech, Rutgers and Virginia) were kept off the list although a good arguement could be made for their inclusion.

 

The Top 10 Overachievers**

School AP Avg Rank Recruiting Avg Rank Difference
#1 Boise State  12 61 +49
#2 UCF 25 62 +37
#3 (tie) Kansas State/Wisconsin 23/13 59/49 +36
#4 TCU 15 38 +23
#5 Michigan State 9 31 +22
#6 Stanford 3 23 +20
#7 (tie) Missouri/Oklahoma State 18/11 36/29 +18
#8 (tie) Louisville/South Carolina 24/5 39/20 +15
#9 Oregon 1 13 +12
#10 Baylor 22 33 +11

**a school had to finish in the Top 25 a minimum of twice over the last four years to be considered

Kevin Causey

About Kevin Causey

dry humorist, beer snob, occasionally unbiased SEC fan, UGA alumni, writer for Crystal Ball Run and founder of College Football Zealots

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