And then there were 11: Updated win shares for the undefeated

The past couple days have been rough for undefeated teams. Wichita State was beaten by Tennessee on Thursday, and then last night Miami rolled Charlotte, and LSU (the most unlikely of the undefeated teams) was blown out at Boise State. This leaves 11 teams with a perfect record.

If you aren't sure what win shares are or how they work, read this.

For the most part, the table looks very similar (except it has three fewer teams). The Florida Gators, already the most likely to finish the regular season undefeated, have an even bigger edge now. Their percent change edged up, while the No. 2 (Duke) slid a bit. Here's the table, and the 'Underdog?' column shows how many games Pomeroy projects for each team where they won't be the favorite. The other columns are self explanatory:

Team Remaining Games Underdog? % Perfect Win Share Record
Indiana 22 1 1.4% 27-4
Florida 23 0 6.5% 28-2
Syracuse 23 2 0.8% 27-4
Duke 22 0 3.9% 28-3
Michigan 21 6 0.01% 25-6
Arizona 23 1* 0.5% 24-4
Cincinnati 22 4 0.0% 24-7
Illinois 21 13 0.0% 22-10
New Mexico 21 6 0.0% 23-8
Wyoming 20 6 0.0% 22-8
Eastern Kentucky 21 9 0.0% 20-10

 

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