Last Week’s Duds, This Week’s Studs

Last Week’s Duds, This Week’s Studs

One thing that is wrong with us as a society is we overreact to everything. Whatever happened moments ago is all we can seem to remember. A player sucks because he dropped a pass, a QB sucks because he threw a pick, another player is dead to you because he had a bad fantasy week. This is behavior that has to be taken advantage of in daily fantasy sports. Julio Jones was written off in week 4 coming off a bad week 3 on Monday night football and then put up 51 fantasy points on DraftKings. Use player’s frustrations to your advantage because if you can figure out which players had a down week due to a bad match up, a fluke game, or whatever reason, you can stand to make a lot of money.
1. Will Fuller WR Texans
Will Fuller has struggled in both of his tough matchups on the road this season, versus the Patriots and Vikings. Last week versus the Vikings he saw 6 targets and caught 1 pass for four yards. That is going to frustrate a lot of people. However, Will Fuller has been the Texans’ best option in the passing game this season and has built up great chemistry with Brock Osweiler. Fuller has posted 3 good games at home and this week gets a Colts secondary that cannot stop a nose bleed. The Colts’ one good corner Vontae Davis should shadow Deandre Hopkins this week, leaving Fuller able to feast on the remaining measly corners. Last week the Colts gave up over 100 yards to Cameron Meredith. Fuller has way more talent and can do even more damage. A nice added bonus for Fuller is he is the NFL’s biggest deep threat, seeing the most targets beyond 20 yards with 17. He has caught 3 and dropped 3, but I think he connects on those passes this week. 150 yards and two touchdowns isn’t out of the question, and with that kind of upside for a player who will be low owned, he makes a great GPP play.
2. Terrelle Pryor WR Browns
This man was everyone’s darling after he played WR and QB versus the Dolphins. He has caught 5 passes in each of the last two games but has failed to break 50 yards in either. He had tough matchups versus Josh Norman and a Patriots team that has always taken away the top option. This week he plays the Titans and Perish Cox who has struggled mightily this season. Terrelle Pryor had 11 deep targets in the first three weeks, but 0 the last two. He should see more deep targets this week. Pryor has also been taking snaps at QB this week, which could mean he does what he did versus the Dolphins versus the Titans. His price has adjusted to the hype and is in the middle of the pack in terms of pricing for a WR. He is a perfect high upside complement to paying up at RB this week.
3. DeSean Jackson WR Redskins
With Jordan Reed likely to miss some time with concussion issues, DeSean Jackson will move into being the focal point of the offense. Jay Gruden this week said that the Redskins need to do a better job of getting Jackson the ball. Jackson was very ineffective last week, but 40 mph winds will neutralize even the best deep threats. Jackson torched the Giants and the Steelers this season with big plays, and he should be able to do the same versus the Eagles. Jackson has only 8 targets over 20 yards this season, but he has caught 4 of them. If the Redskins do what they say they are going to do and get him the ball, he should see at least 5 deep targets — if he catches 2 or 3 of them you are looking at 100 yards and a touchdown before you even calculate what he does on the rest of his routes. Also if you are into narratives, Jackson plays his old team who ruined his reputation. Jackson says that it was Chip Kelly and not the Eagles, and he would welcome a return back to the Eagles in the future. Either he is lying and really wants to stick it to his old team, or he is telling the truth and wants to show them what he has before he is a free agent this offseason.
4. Lamar Miller RB Texans
Miller has gotten the touches this year, but has not gotten the ball in the end zone. Last week he played a Vikings defense that has shut down every player they have faced this season, and Miller is no different. Miller is a good GPP pivot from top guys like McCoy or Murray and should have a low ownership. Miller gets a Colts defense that has been run over all this season — Jordan Howard just had over 100 yards and a touchdown versus them last week. A back with Miller’s talent, getting 25 touches in a game in a great matchup, is a guy you want to have some shares of this week. I expect the Texans to get him going for 120 all-purpose yards and a touchdown.
5. Sterling Sheppard WR Giants
Sheppard has had two straight down weeks after a hot start to the season. He played the Vikings and the Packers, and Eli struggled to get him the ball in each game. Sheppard caught only 2 of his 7 targets last week, and 4 of his 7 targets the week before. He has 44 yards combined in his last two games. The Ravens come to MetLife Stadium, and Jimmy Smith is already jawing at Odell about how he is going to fight him if Odell acts up at all. Beckham has been shown to struggle when opposing teams get in his head. That could mean more looks for Sheppard this week, but more importantly Sheppard will be facing the Ravens number 2 corner, Shareece Wright, who had a good week versus DeSean Jackson last week, but that was mainly due to the wind. He was lit up by Corey Coleman, Allen Robinson, and Michael Crabtree. No corner in the NFL has given up more touchdowns this season than Wright. This is a juicy matchup for a player who should be under 5 percent owned, which means you need to get him on a GPP roster.

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