Pre-Game Skate (12/4/15): Florida Panthers (12-9-4) @ Columbus Blue Jackets (10-16-0)

Coming off a win in Nashville, the Panthers are looking for their fifth win in a row tonight in Columbus. It’s a scheduled loss — the tired team is generally expected to lose, especially when they travel to get to the game — but under Gallant, Florida boasts a 5-5-3 record in the second half of back to backs, so anything can happen.


The Numbers

Team Breakdown

 Florida PanthersColumbus Blue Jackets
Record12-9-4 (5th Atlantic)10-16-0 (8th Metropolitan)
GF/60 (5v5)2.0 (T-16th)1.9 (T-18th)
GA/60 (5v5)1.9 (T-8th)2.4 (T-26th)
CF/60 (5v5)46.4 (29th)48.7 (25th)
CA/60 (5v5)54.5 (19th)53.7 (15th)
PDO (5v5)101.498.5
Power Play21.2% (8th - 18 for 85)17.6% (21st - 15 for 85)
Penalty Kill79.5% (T-18th - 62 for 78)80.8% (14th - 76 for 94)

Individual Leaders

 Florida PanthersColumbus Blue Jackets
PointsJaromir Jagr (18)Ryan Johansen (19)
GoalsJaromir Jagr (8)Boone Jenner (11)
AssistsJonathan Huberdeau (12)Ryan Johansen (13)
PP/60 (5v5)Connor Brickley (1.97)Kerby Rychel (2.37)
iCorsi/60 (5v5)Brandon Pirri (16.64)Cam Atkinson (14.98)
CF% rel (5v5)Aaron Ekblad (+12.51%)Dalton Prout (+6.8%)
SCF% rel (5v5)Aaron Ekblad (+13.54%)Dalton Prout (+7.6%)
PenD (5v5)Vince Trocheck (+5)Scott Hartnell (+4)

Goalie Matchup

 Al MontoyaSergei Bobrovsky
Record2-1-110-12-1
AdjSv% (5v5).922.912
GAA2.392.74

* – Stats are courtesy of War-on-Ice.com, Puckalytics.com and Hockey-Reference.com


Projected Lineups

Florida Panthers

#73 Brandon Pirri#16 Aleksander Barkov#68 Jaromir Jagr
#11 Jonathan Huberdeau#21 Vincent Trocheck#18 Reilly Smith
#86 Connor Brickley#63 Dave Bolland#36 Jussi Jokinen
#42 Quinton Howden#17 Derek MacKenzie#48 Logan Shaw

#7 Dmitry Kulikov#5 Aaron Ekblad
#51 Brian Campbell#33 Willie Mitchell
#5 Dylan Olsen#44 Erik Gudbranson

#35 Al Montoya
#1 Roberto Luongo

Columbus Blue Jackets

#38 Boone Jenner#19 Ryan Johansen#71 Nick Foligno
#20 Brandon Saad#17 Brandon Dubinsky#13 Cam Atkinson
#11 Matt Calvert#25 William Karlsson#43 Scott Hartnell
#9 Gregory Campbell#41 Alexander Wennberg#21 Kerby Rychel

#7 Jack Johnson#58 David Savard
#27 Ryan Murray#4 Kevin Connauton
#44 Justin Falk#2 Andrew Bodnarchuk

#72 Sergei Bobrovsky
#30 Curtis McElhinney


The Rundown

The struggling Columbus Blue Jackets are in a bizarre four-way tie for last in the league with Carolina, Edmonton, and Calgary — clearly everyone wants Auston Matthews (and noted Floridian Jakob Chychrun isn’t a bad consolation prize). This “should” be an easier matchup than Nashville, but really the only difference between Florida and Columbus this season by the numbers has been luck and the outstanding goaltending of both Luongo and Montoya compared to a league average performance by Bobrovsky.

The Panthers have been winning, but they haven’t been winning prettily. They are getting outshot significantly and that spells disaster. Luckily, they have a crucial piece of the puzzle coming back tonight: Dmitry Kulikov. While Kulikov’s numbers are a bit down this season, the difference between Florida’s performance with him and without him has been notable. While they haven’t given up many goals in the games he’s missed, they have been soundly outplayed. Ekblad and Campbell excepted, only Petrovic, who’s played most of his minutes with Kulikov, is anything like breaking even possession-wise. He will be a nice boost to the Panthers blue line, wherever he slots in. (We don’t know this yet, so I absolutely made up the pairings in our projected lineup, but they’re pretty good, right?)


Closing Thoughts

If John Tortorella loves me, and sadly, he probably does not, the Trocheck line will get matched up with the Dubinsky line. The only thing I love more than getting to watch Trocheck play with Brandon Saad is getting to watch them play against each other. The Pittsburgh natives played together for two years with the OHL’s Saginaw Spirit and, fun fact, in their age 19 seasons, both wore the C for the Spirit and ended the year with 1.73 points per game.

Not tonight, kid. Not tonight.

On a more serious note, the Sunshine Skate is fundraising for RAINN all season long. I’m adding $5 to my assorted pledges for a win tonight to get the team back to a true .500 winning percentage and that coveted fifth straight win.

About Angie S

I’m a medieval historian by training, or at least I conned a university into believing I was enough of one for them to give me a master’s degree. While slacking off on my Latin translations for said degree, I taught myself hockey statistics and have been yelling about them ever since.

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