East Region Preview

The play in the East region begins tonight, but for the most part, it begins tomorrow. There are some metrics that see the national champion come from this region. That national champ would be top seeded Indiana. The Hoosiers are the chic pick to win the region. Let's see how hard the road is for the Hoosiers. 

But first, the tip times and TV for the games in this region. All times eastern

Wednesday 

6:30 pm – TruTV  16) LIU-Brooklyn vs 16) James Madison 

Thursday

12:40 – TruTV 6) Butler vs 11) Bucknell

3:10  - TruTV 3) Marquette vs 14) Davidson

7:27 – TruTV 5) UNLV vs 12) California

9:57 – TruTV 4) Syracuse vs 13) Montana

 

Friday

1:40 – TBS 8) NC State vs 9) Temple

2:10 – TNT 2) Miami vs 15) Pacific

4:10 – TBS 1) Indiana vs 16) Winner

4:40 – TNT 7) Illinois vs 10) Colorado

 

Ken Pom Offense

  1. Indiana 123.1
  2. NC State 115.9
  3. Syracuse 114.2
  4. Marquette 113.4
  5. Miami 113.2
  6. Temple 110.6
  7. Davidson 110.2
  8. Illinois 109.7
  9. Long Island 109
  10. Butler 108
  11. California 105.8
  12. Colorado 105.7
  13. Bucknell 105.3
  14. UNLV 105.2
  15. Pacific 105
  16. Montana 103.6
  17. James Madison 97.3

Ken Pom Defense

  1. UNLV 88.3
  2. Indiana 89
  3. Miami 89.8
  4. Syracuse 89.8
  5. Colorado 90.9
  6. Bucknell 92.6
  7. California 92.9
  8. Marquette 93.3
  9. Illinois 93.3
  10. Butler 93.6
  11. Davidson 96.8
  12. NC State 97.3
  13. Temple 98.3
  14. James Madison 98.9
  15. Pacific 100.5
  16. Montana 101.5
  17. Long Island 111

There are some bad defenses in this region. Most of the offenses are very good. Pacific is one of the worst offensive teams and they are just outside the top 100 on Ken Pom. The defenses are not that great. Butler is ranked 53. None of the others are in the top 100. That should mean some points go on the board in this region. Especially if Indiana plays Long Island. That NC State/Temple game has some big time points ability as well. 

The following numbers are from conference play since the past 2 and a half months for all of these teams have been spent in conference play. That seems like the rational way to do it. 

Possessions

  1. NC State 69
  2. Long Island 69
  3. Temple 68
  4. UNLV 67
  5. Indiana 66
  6. Butler 65
  7. California 65
  8. Colorado 65
  9. Marquette 64
  10. Pacific 64
  11. Illinois 64
  12. Miami 64
  13. Montana 64
  14. Davidson 64
  15. Syracuse 63
  16. James Madison 63
  17. Bucknell 62

Points Per Possession – Offense

  1. Davidson 1.16
  2. Indiana 1.14
  3. Long Island 1.14
  4. Montana 1.11
  5. NC State 1.09
  6. Miami 1.08
  7. Temple 1.08
  8. Marquette 1.07
  9. Pacific 1.07
  10. Bucknell 1.06
  11. Syracuse 1.04
  12. Butler 1.04
  13. Illinois 1
  14. James Madison 1
  15. California 1
  16. UNLV 0.99
  17. Colorado 0.99

Efficiency

  1. Davidson 116
  2. Indiana 113.9
  3. Long Island 113.9
  4. Montana 111.1
  5. NC State 109.4
  6. Temple 108..4
  7. Miami 107.8
  8. Marquette 107.1
  9. Pacific 106.5
  10. Bucknell 105.6
  11. Syracuse 104.4
  12. Butler 103.9
  13. Illinois 100.3
  14. California 99.7
  15. James Madison 99.6
  16. Colorado 99.2
  17. UNLV 98.6

Points Per Possession – Defense

  1. Bucknell 0.90
  2. Miami 0.93
  3. UNLV 0.94
  4. Colorado 0.96
  5. California 0.97
  6. James Madison 0.97
  7. Indiana 0.98
  8. Pacific 0.98
  9. Montana 0.98
  10. Marquette 0.99
  11. Syracuse 0.99
  12. Butler 0.99
  13. Davidson 1
  14. Illinois 1.02
  15. Temple 1.03
  16. NC State 1.04
  17. Long Island 1.08

Efficiency

  1. Bucknell 89.9
  2. Miami 93.5
  3. UNLV 94.4
  4. Colorado 95.6
  5. California 96.8
  6. James Madison 97.2
  7. Pacific 97.8
  8. Indiana 98
  9. Montana 98
  10. Syracuse 99
  11. Butler 99
  12. Marquette 99.4
  13. Davidson 100.2
  14. Illinois 102.2
  15. Temple 102.8
  16. NC State 103.6
  17. Long Island 107.5

Since there are 16 teams who are going to play in the region, let's look at the top 16 standouts. This doesn't mean one from every team, just the top 16. 

Minutes

  1. Jason Brickman 36.5
  2. Shane Larkin 36.4
  3. Alan Crabbe 36.2
  4. Justin Cobbs 35.7
  5. Kareem Jamar 35
  6. CJ Garner 35
  7. Scootie Randall 34.6
  8. Lorenzo Brown 34
  9. Devon Moore 33.9
  10. Anthony Marshall 33.8
  11. Scott Wood 33.8
  12. DJ Richardson 33.8
  13. Andre Robertson 33.4
  14. Khalif Wyatt 33
  15. Rotnei Clarke 33.2
  16. Bryson Johnson 33

Points

  1. Khalif Wyatt 19.8
  2. Mike Muscala 19
  3. Jamal Olasewere 18.9
  4. Allen Crabbe 18.7
  5. Julian Boyd 18.5
  6. Cody Zeller 16.9
  7. Rotnei Clarke 16.7
  8. Brandon Paul 16.6
  9. Anthony Bennett 16.1
  10. CJ Garner 16.1
  11. Spencer Dinwiddie 15.6
  12. Justin Cobbs 15.4
  13. CJ Leslie 14.9
  14. Jake Cohen 14.8
  15. Mathias Ward 14.8
  16. Shane Larkin 14.6

Field Goal Percentage (min 100 attempts)

  1. Chris Otule 64.4%
  2. TJ Warren 62.6%
  3. Victor Oladipo 59.9%
  4. Davante Gardner 58%
  5. Julian Gamble 57.4%
  6. Cody Zeller 57.3%
  7. Kameron Woods 56.9%
  8. Robert Thurman 56.9%
  9. Richard Howell 56.6%
  10. Khyle Marshall 56.4%
  11. Khem Birch 55.6%
  12. Julian Boyd 54.6%
  13. Anthony Lee 53.6%
  14. Rakeem Christmas 53.4%
  15. Tony Gill 53.2%
  16. Mike Muscala 52%

Free Throw Percentage (min 50 attempts)

  1. Nik Cochran 94.1%
  2. Scott Wood 92%
  3. Katin Reinhardt 89.2%
  4. Jordan Gregory 88.9%
  5. Rotnei Clark 88.6%
  6. Joe Willman 87.5%
  7. Kellen Dunham 87.1%
  8. Justin Cobbs 86.1%
  9. Tyler Lewis 86%
  10. Trey McKinney-Jones 84.6%
  11. Davante Gardner 84.2%
  12. Khalif Wyatt 83.2%
  13. DJ Richardson 83%
  14. Jake Cohen 82.9%
  15. Spencer Dinwiddie 82.6%
  16. Christian Watford 81.9%

3 Pointers Made

  1. Rotnei Clarke 108
  2. Scott Wood 102
  3. DJ Richardson 78
  4. Jordan Hulls 77
  5. James Southerland 76
  6. Brandon Paul 74
  7. Khalif Wyatt 71
  8. Bryson Johnson 71
  9. AJ Davis 65
  10. Shane Larkin 63
  11. Katin Reinhardt 62
  12. Allen Crabbe 61
  13. Chris Czerapowicz 59
  14. Scootie Randall 57
  15. Kellen Dunham 56
  16. Brandon Thompson 56

3 Point Percent

  1. Christian Watford 49.1%
  2. CJ Fair 49.1%
  3. Nik Cochran 48.5%
  4. Colin Beatty 48.1%
  5. Michael Weisner 46.4%
  6. Jordan Hulls 46.4%
  7. Jason Brickman 46.1%
  8. CJ Garner 45.8%
  9. Scott Wood 44.3%
  10. Jordan Gregory 44.1%
  11. Booker Hucks 43.2%
  12. Xavier Johnson 42.9%
  13. Jake O'Brien 42.9%
  14. Rodrigo De Souza 41.4%
  15. Rotnei Clarke 41.2%
  16. James Southerland 41.1%

Rebounds

  1. Andre Roberson 11.3
  2. Mike Muscala 11.1
  3. Richard Howell 10.7
  4. Jamal Olasewere 8.5
  5. Cody Zeller 8.2
  6. Anthony Bennett 8
  7. Raysahwn Goins 7.4
  8. CJ Leslie 7.4
  9. CJ Fair 7.1
  10. Kenny Kadji 7
  11. Anthony Lee 7
  12. David Kravish 6.9
  13. Reggie Johnson 6.9
  14. Richard Solomon 6.6
  15. Victor Oladipo 6.4
  16. Rahlir Hollis-Jefferson 6.2

Assists

  1. Jason Brickman 280
  2. Michael Carter-Williams 271
  3. Lorenzo Brown 230
  4. Anthony Marshall 197
  5. Devon Moore 162
  6. Justin Cobbs 148
  7. Shane Larkin 146
  8. Lorenzo McCloud 137
  9. Yogi Ferrell 137
  10. Khalif Wyatt 130
  11. Junior Cadougan 128
  12. Kareem Jamar 128
  13. Brandon Triche 125
  14. Roosevelt Jones 119
  15. Tracy Abrams 113
  16. Nik Cochran 111

Turnovers (these are the players who turned it over most)

  1. Jason Brickman 131
  2. Michael Carter-Williams 122
  3. Lorenzo Brown 111
  4. Jamal Olasewere 105
  5. CJ Leslie 102
  6. Khalif Wyatt 102
  7. Roosevelt Jones 97
  8. Brandon Triche 95
  9. Anthony Marshall 92
  10. Justin Cobbs 91
  11. Brandon Paul 91
  12. Rotnei Clarke 90
  13. Tracy Abrams 
  14. Kareem Jamar 88
  15. Bryce Dejean-Jones 79
  16. Junior Cadougan 78

Steals

  1. Michael Carter-Williams 96
  2. Victor Oladipo 74
  3. Shane Larkin 66
  4. Andre Roberson 65
  5. Lorenzo Brown 65
  6. Rahlir Hollis-Jefferson 56
  7. Khalif Wyatt 53
  8. Andre Nation 51
  9. Justin Hawkins 49
  10. CJ Garner 48
  11. Durand Scott 48
  12. Tracy Abrams 48
  13. DJ Richardson 47
  14. Jamal Olasewere 46
  15. Will Cummings 46
  16. Brandon Triche 44

Blocks

  1. Mike Muscala 80
  2. Rakeem Christmas 67
  3. Khem Birch 64
  4. Julian Gamble 59
  5. Jake Cohen 55
  6. David Kravish 52
  7. Nnanna Egwu 47
  8. Kenny Kadji 44
  9. Anthony Bennett 43
  10. Cody Zeller 43
  11. Andre Nation 41
  12. CJ Leslie 41
  13. Andre Roberson 40
  14. Baye Keita 38
  15. CJ Fair 36
  16. Richard Solomon 36

Favorite: Indiana. The Hoosiers match up well with pretty much every team on their side of the bracket. They should be able to get up and down on Temple or NC State. A game with UNLV in the Sweet 16 could be tricky because UNLV has a ton of talent and plays very good defense. But the Hoosiers stand out from the field. 

Sleeper: Syracuse. The Orange put together 3 good games and a good half in the Big East tournament. If they are hitting 3s, they are a dangerous team. They haven't been consistent enough lately to be considered a true threat however. 

What about Miami?: Miami has a solid road to the Sweet 16 laid out for them. They should avoid Duke's fate from last season in the first round. Illinois and Colorado could pose a threat, but Miami should be able to advance. I think they have a relatively easy draw in the Sweet 16. I don't think they matchup well with Indiana. 

Party Crasher: Butler. It's easy to say Butler, but I think they can make a run. They have played Marquette once this season. They can control tempo. Late in a game, they have proven they can make plays. More than that, opponents know that they can make plays. That messes with your head when you think the other team is going to make a play. 

Upset Special: Cal over UNLV. Everyone is calling this since the game is in California and the Bears seem to be under seeded. I'm not fond of UNLV's late game play. I think they'll fold out early even with a win against Cal. 

Scott

About Scott

I write Bearcats Blog and also on Run the Floor.

Quantcast