The Indianapolis Colts are a young, talented team, but we can't understate how much the Colts overachieved last season. What's more, the man that lead that overachieving bunch is now the head coach in Arizona.
This season will be largely determined by the success, or struggles, of second year quarterback Andrew Luck. With success, the Colts can likely come close to their success of last season, but in a tough conference, a wildcard birth for the Colts seems extremely unlikely. Don't get me wrong, the Colts are still moving in the right direction, but they're not quite there yet.
The Cowboys are gearing up for a complete overhaul following the 2013 season. Last year, for the second consecutive season, the Cowboys lost a de-facto divisional championship game in week 17. I don't expect the Cowboys to be playing meaningful football so late in the season this time around.
The Ravens simply lost too many impact players this offseason to make it back to the Super Bowl next winter. The Ravens are still the best team on this abbreviated list, but even for them, it'll be a stretch to make a postseason run. The Bengals are a quickly rising team within their division, and the Steelers rarely miss the playoffs in consecutive years. In addition, Joe Flacco may be the most overpaid player in the league, eating up a lot more salary than he should. With so many factors against them, I fully expect the Ravens to miss the playoffs this season.